Lub Chaw Khaws Ntaub Ntawv Xav Tau Hluav Taws Xob Ntau Npaum Li Cas?
"Muab ib hnub ncig xyuas Beijing cov hutongs pub dawb rau kuv yam tsis tas rov qab mus."
Tshem tawm cov neeg uas hla dhau hauv daim duab no, ua kom nws zoo li qub.
"Hloov cov os kib hauv daim vis dis aus cawm hma liab hauv roob daus nrog cov os ntsev."
Cov lus qhia AI no, qhov twg yuav siv hluav taws xob ntau dua?
Ob peb xyoos dhau los, lub zog fais fab (qhov yuav tsum tau muaj peev xwm) ntawm ib lub chaw khaws ntaub ntawv feem ntau yog nyob rau hauv kaum tawm megawatts (MW). Txawm li cas los xij, nrog rau kev loj hlob ntawm AI computing fais fab xav tau, qhov kev xav tau fais fab ntawm cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv tau txuas ntxiv nce siab. Raws li daim ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm International Energy Agency (IEA), kev siv hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb ntawm cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv yog kwv yees li 415 terawatt-hours (TWh) hauv xyoo 2024, thiab yuav nce mus txog kwv yees li 945 terawatt-hours (TWh) los ntawm xyoo 2030 (qhov no yuav tsis paub meej nyob ntawm qhov xwm txheej).
Yog xav muab piv rau qhov ntawd, lub Three Gorges Dam lub zog tsim hluav taws xob txhua xyoo hauv xyoo 2025 yog kwv yees li 95.715 billion kilowatt-teev (95.715 terawatt-teev). Yog li ntawd, kev siv hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb ntawm lub chaw khaws ntaub ntawv yog sib npaug rau kwv yees li plaub lub Three Gorges Dams lub zog tsim hluav taws xob txhua xyoo.
Rov qab mus rau lo lus nug thawj zaug: kev siv zog ntawm ib qho kev thov AI tsis muaj tus nqi ruaj khov thiab cuam tshuam los ntawm ntau yam xws li qhov loj me ntawm tus qauv, qhov ntev ntawm cov zis, cov saw hlau inference, concurrency, kho vajtse, thiab chaw khaws ntaub ntawv. Cov qauv dav dav yog:
Cov ntawv yooj yim, cov zis luv luv, thiab cov kauj ruam kwv yees tsawg dua feem ntau siv hluav taws xob ntau dua. Kev kwv yees nyuaj, kev sib tham ntau zaus, thiab cov zis ntev ua rau muaj kev suav ntau ntxiv.
Kev tsim cov duab nyuaj feem ntau siv computer ntau dua li cov ntawv nyeem yooj yim.
Cov haujlwm tsim video/kho video ntev feem ntau qhia txog kev siv hluav taws xob ntau dua.
Kev npaj fais fab yuav tsum tau ua kom sib haum nrog kev tsim kho chaw khaws ntaub ntawv AI.
Kev npaj fais fab ib txwm muaj feem ntau ua haujlwm rau lub sijhawm ntev kaum xyoo; txawm li cas los xij, lub voj voog kev txhim kho ntawm cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv hyperscale luv dua, xav tau kev sib phim nruj ntawm kev muab fais fab thiab cov qhov rai ua lag luam. Cov kev txwv tsis pub ua hauv kev siv suav nrog:
Cov haujlwm ntawm cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv tsuas yog siv sijhawm ntau xyoo los tsim, tsis suav nrog lub sijhawm uas yuav tsum tau siv los teeb tsa cov chaw muab hluav taws xob tshiab.
Cov chaw tsim hluav taws xob tshiab uas siv roj av feem ntau raug txwv xws li daim ntawv tso cai, roj, thiab cov xwm txheej ntawm cov kav dej, nrog rau lub voj voog ua haujlwm yuav siv sijhawm txog 8-10 xyoo. Lub sijhawm xa khoom rau cov khoom siv tseem ceeb xws li cov transformers loj, cov circuit breakers, turbines, thiab prefabricated substations yog ntev, feem ntau yuav tsum tau npaj ntau xyoo ua ntej.
Los ntawm lub zeem muag ntawm lub tuam txhab fais fab, peev nyiaj thiab kev xav tias yuav tsum tau ua sai sai tsis tuaj yeem hla dhau kev tsim kho lub cev thiab cov txheej txheem kev cai lij choj. Yog li ntawd, ob tog yuav tsum kho lawv cov tswv yim: cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv yuav tsum qhia lawv qhov kev xav tau tiag tiag ua ntej, thiab cov tuam txhab fais fab / cov chaw muab hluav taws xob yuav tsum cuam tshuam ua ntej hauv kev daws teeb meem fais fab thiab kev xaiv tsim kom txo qhov tsis sib xws thiab kev rov ua dua hauv cov txheej txheem "kev npaj-kev siv".
Huab cua hnyav ua rau qhov xav tau hluav taws xob ntau ntxiv.
Xyoo tas los no huab cua phem heev tau tshwm sim ntau zuj zus. Txawm tias ua ntej muaj cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv puv ntoob, huab cua phem heev twb tau sim cov kev txwv ntawm lub zog hluav taws xob tas li.
Cov khoom siv txias hauv tsev nyob nce siab zuj zus, yuam kom lub sijhawm teem sijhawm ua qhov kev xaiv nyuaj nyob rau hauv kev nyuaj siab. Nrog rau kev loj hlob ntawm cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv hyperscale, yog tsis muaj kev koom ua ke zoo, cov khoom loj yuav ua rau kev ntseeg siab nyuaj dua. Kev sib tham txog kev cai lij choj thiab kev cai lij choj kuj tseem tab tom ua txog seb puas yuav siv kev txo cov khoom rau cov neeg siv khoom loj xws li cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv hauv cov xwm txheej ceev kom ntseeg tau tias muaj qhov tseem ceeb rau cov khoom thauj tseem ceeb rau lub neej. Qhov no txhais tau tias cov tuam txhab fais fab xav tau kev npaj ntawm lub koom haum thiab kev siv tshuab nrog "lub peev xwm txo qis" thaum sib npaug cov ntawv cog lus, kev sib raug zoo nrog cov neeg siv khoom, thiab kev koom tes ntev.
Ntsib nrog nthwv dej tom ntej ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm kev thov, cov hluav taws xob thiab cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv xav tau cov khoom siv "sai dua thiab ruaj khov dua".
Raws li qhov kev thov zog los ntawm cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv thiab AI txuas ntxiv nce siab, cov chaw muab kev pabcuam yuav tsum ua kom muaj kev sib npaug zoo dua ntawm kev nthuav dav thiab kev ntseeg tau.
Hauv cov txheej txheem no,Belden Hirschmannkev sib txuas lus thiab kev sib txuas lus hauv network tuaj yeem txhawb nqa cov xwm txheej tseem ceeb hauv cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv thiab lub zog fais fab, suav nrog kev sib txuas lus txhim khu kev qha rau cov chaw muab hluav taws xob tseem ceeb thiab kev faib khoom, kev sib txuas lus hauv network thiab kev tau txais cov ntaub ntawv, thiab kev pom thiab kev tswj hwm rau kev ua haujlwm thiab kev saib xyuas, pab cov neeg siv khoom txhim kho kev xa tawm, kev saib xyuas, thiab kev ruaj ntseg ua haujlwm thaum lub sijhawm nthuav dav.
Xov Xwm Tau Los: Belden Hessmann WeChat Official Account
Qhov Chaw Tau Hais: Zog thiab AI - Kev Tshawb Fawb - IEA: https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/
Daim Ntawv Tshaj Tawm Txog Qhov Project Three Gorges Xyoo 2025: http://www.mwr.gov.cn/sj/tjgb/sxgcgb/202606/t20260629_2131904.html
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Lub Yim Hli-10-2026